A Dangerous miscalculation.

The reactor building Bushehr nuclear power plant in southern Iran in October 2010. AFP

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s unprecedented visit to Saudi Arabia, facilitated by Secretary of State Pompeo, is all about coordination: a possible covert operation, potentially targeting Iran’s nuclear facilities. For the Saudis, time is running out. Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman will have more to lose from the US rejoining the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), known as the Iran nuclear deal, and ending the war in Yemen.

On one hand, while Netanyahu desires a conflict to kill the JCPOA, the cost of a direct strike is too high. Iran-backed groups are positioned in Gaza, Syria…

All options are on the table.

Iranian scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh during a meeting with the Iranian supreme leader in Tehran, on Jan. 23, 2019 I AFP - Getty Images

The assassination of Iran’s top nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, has significantly escalated tensions between Iran and Israel. Last week, a multilateral coordinating effort was on full display, as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made an unprecedented visit to Saudi Arabia, with the presence of United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and discussed plans to confront Iran prior to Joe Biden assuming office and kickstarting diplomacy with Iran. As I assessed in my last article, “The Next Covert Operation in Iran”, Saudi Crown Prince Bin Salman was involved in the talks to orchestrate the…

Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo met with German Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer in Berlin, Germany, on November 8, 2019. [State Department photo by Ron Przysucha/ Public Domain]

The famous motto behind the founding of NATO was to “keep the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down.” While 70 years have passed since the establishment of NATO, the organization still acts as a deterrent against Russia on Europe’s easten border. The United States remains as the organization’s top financial contributor, and with 39,000 of its troops stationed in Germany alone, the US also serves as the continent’s security guarantor. Meanwhile, Europe’s most powerful economic player, Germany, is still deprived of a modern military force and a seat at the UN Security Council.

However, the emerging…

Protesters attack the US embassy in Iraq
Protesters attack the US embassy in Iraq
Protesters attack the US embassy in Baghdad.

The Trump administration’s short-sighted decision to use the military option against the Iranian-backed Kata’ib Hezbollah, which killed 25 militia members, has caused irreparable damage concerning US-Iraq relations. The strike was announced as a retaliatory and defensive measure, following the recent rocket attack against a US base (which injured US troops and killed an American contractor). Hoping to limit Iran’s regional influence, as part of the administration's “maximum pressure” strategy, the strike aimed to send a strong message to Iran. However, the attack quickly backfired when unprecedented anti-American demonstrations, led by pro-Iran militias, broke out in-front of the United States’ largest…

This article was first published by The Institute for Peace and Diplomacy

On 12 June 2018, Liberal and Conservative parliamentarians voted for a motion against restoring relations with Iran. The Liberal government blamed the decision on the death of Iranian-Canadian professor Seyed-Emami in an Iranian prison and Iranian authorities’ treatment of the late professor’s family. Interestingly however, the Trudeau government’s decision to vote against re-establishing diplomatic relations followed a meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Trudeau during the G7 conference held in Quebec. One month earlier, President Trump had withdrawn the United States from the Iran nuclear deal and…

A Solar Power Farm in Iran

The renewable energy sector is booming in Iran. Despite being an energy superpower, the economy’s high reliance on oil has negatively affected Iran’s economic security and environmental sustainability. Coupled with facing the threat of climate change, Iranian policy-makers have been compelled to prioritize environmental policy and utilize foreign investment and oil revenue to boost the country’s renewable energy sector.

The Oil Problem and Climate Change

Iran has the world’s fourth largest proven oil reserves and the world’s second largest proven reserves of natural gas. However, the country’s dependence on oil exports has threatened its economic security by making the country…

Pouyan K. Jan

Research Associate @ The Institute for Peace and Diplomacy I UBC Alumnus | Advocate for Diplomacy | Interested in Int’l Security & Sustainable Development.

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